题目详情

德尔菲法区别于其他专家预测法的明显特点是()。

  • A.引入了权重参数
  • B.多次有控制的反馈
  • C.专家之间互相取长补短
  • D.至少经过4轮预测

正确答案及解析

正确答案
B
解析

所谓专家,在这里一般指具有专业知识、精通业务、在某些方面积累丰富经验、富有创造性和分析判断能力的人(无论有无名望)。专家预测法是以专家为索取信息的对象,运用专家的知识和经验,考虑预测对象的社会环境,直接分析研究和寻求其特征规律,并推测未来的一种预测方法。

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