某系统集成企业为做好项目风险管理,给风险定义了3个参数。(1)风险严重性:指风险对项目造成的危害程度;(2)风险可能性:指风险发生的几率;(3)风险系数:是风险严重性和风险可能性的乘积。其中,对项目进度延误、费用超支的风险严重性等级和风险可能性等级如下表所示。

假定该企业将风险系数大于等于10的情况定义为红灯状态,需要优先处理,则下列( ) 的情况属于红灯状态。
- A.进度延误15%,费用超支15%,发生几率为0.5
- B.进度延误15%,费用超支35%,发生几率为0.2
- C.进度延误15%,费用超支25%,发生几率为0.3
- D.进度延误25%,费用超支15%,发生几率为0.4
正确答案及解析
正确答案
解析
A.进度延误15%,费用超支15%对应的风险严重性最高等级为3,风险发生几率为0.5对应的风险可能性等级为3,因此该项的风险系数为9;B.进度延误15%,费用超支30%对应的风险严重性最高等级为4,风险发生几率为0.2对应的风险可能性等级为2,因此该项的风险系数为8;C.进度延误15%,费用超支25%对应的风险严重性最高等级为4,风险发生几率为0.3对应的风险可能性等级为2,因此该项的风险系数为8;D.进度延误25%,费用超支15%对应的风险严重性最高等级为4,风险发生几率为0.4对应的风险可能性等级为3,因此该项的风险系数为12。
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