德尔菲技术作为风险识别的一种方法,主要用途是 ( ) 。
- A.为决策者提供图表式的决策选择次序
- B.确定具体偏差出现的概率
- C.有助于将决策者对风险的态度考虑进去
- D.减少分析过程中的偏见,防止任何人对事件结果施加不正确的影响
正确答案及解析
正确答案
解析
风险识别方法包括德尔菲技术、头脑风暴法、SWOT技术、检查表和图解技术。德尔菲技术是众多专家就某一专题达成 意见的一种方法。项目风险管理专家以匿名方式参与此项活动。主持人用问卷征询有关重要项目风险的见解,问卷的答案交回并汇总后,随即在专家中传阅,请他们 进一步发表意见。此项过程进行若干轮之后,就不难得出关于主要项目风险的一致看法。德尔菲技术有助于减少数据中的偏倚,并防止任何个人对结果不适当地产生 过大的影响。
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